Thursday, April 16, 2009

The Gold Mine Facebook Refuses To Explore

(alleyinsider.com) -- Razorfish VP Shiv Singh tells us ad agencies like his pay brand monitoring firms like Motive Quest, Visible Technologies and Nielsen Buzzmetrics anywhere from $5,000 to $40,000 a year for insight into what consumers are saying about their clients online.

Shiv says these agencies would happily pay Facebook twice as much for a rival service.

"I think Facebook is sitting on a gold mine," he says.

Already Facebook has a free service called Lexicon, which, according to the company, "aggregates and analyzes millions of Facebook Wall posts every day to provide a searchable database of trends over time."

But Shiv tells us he and his fellow marketers want a "Lexicon on Steroids."

Read more here

Cathay Pacific Cuts Capacity, Offers Unpaid Leave

(Bloomberg) -- Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd., Hong Kong’s largest carrier, will cut capacity and ask staff to take unpaid leave as it battles plunging travel demand.

The airline will reduce the planned passenger capacity at its main unit by 8 percent from May and by 13 percent at its Hong Kong Dragon Airlines Ltd. arm, it said today in a Hong Kong stock exchange statement. The unpaid leave will be on offer over the next 12 months, the airline added.

The company’s first-quarter sales from passenger and cargo flights tumbled 22 percent as it slashed fares and carried fewer travelers because of the global recession. Qantas Airways Ltd. said earlier this week that it will fire about 5 percent of its workforce and delay planes as demand weakens.

“This slowdown will be deeper and longer” than previous recessions, said Winson Fong, who helps manage $2 billion at SG Asset Management H.K. Ltd. in Hong Kong. “The bad news will continue to come.”

Cathay Pacific rose 1.2 percent to HK$9.69 at 10:39 a.m. in Hong Kong trading. The carrier has gained 11 percent this year, outperforming the benchmark Hang Seng Index’s 10 percent rise.

Staff Leave

The airline will cut its overall cargo capacity by 11 percent from May, it said. The company didn’t say how much unpaid leave it wanted staff to take in the statement. The leave isn’t mandatory, Carolyn Leung, a spokeswoman, said by phone.

Chief Executive Officer Tony Tyler joins Singapore Airlines Ltd. and Qantas in cutting costs after traffic for Asia-Pacific carriers sank almost 13 percent in February, the steepest decline since June, according to the International Air Transport Association.

Read more here

Wednesday, April 15, 2009

China’s GDP Grows at Slowest Pace in Almost a Decade

(Bloomberg) -- China’s gross domestic product, battered by collapsing exports, grew at the slowest pace in almost 10 years, probably marking the low point for the world’s third-biggest economy.

GDP expanded 6.1 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier, after a 6.8 percent gain in the previous three months, the statistics bureau said in Beijing today. The figure was below the 6.2 percent median estimate of 13 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Growth in industrial production and investment accelerated, adding to evidence that Premier Wen Jiabao’s 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus plan is working. The Shanghai Composite Index fell from an eight-month high amid speculation that Wen will have to do more to increase consumption and wean the economy from a dependence on exports.

“They’ve stabilized the economy and now the challenge is to think about how to support consumption and how to support private investment,” said Stephen Green, head of China research at Standard Chartered Plc in Shanghai. “We’re still looking for stimulus measures to encourage consumption.”

Today’s report follows with a statement from U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner that China isn’t a currency manipulator. His stance eases pressure on China to allow its currency to rise, which would hurt efforts to revive exports.

From July 1 to the end of last year, the yuan rose just 0.4 percent against the dollar. Its value has been little changed since the beginning of the year.

Domestic Demand

The currency traded at 6.8313 against the dollar as of 11:34 a.m. in Shanghai, unchanged from before the announcement. Shanghai’s benchmark stock index fell 0.1 percent, trimming its gain this year to 39 percent, the second-best performance among 88 indexes tracked by Bloomberg. It earlier rose as much as 0.5 percent.

“While we are facing difficulty in relying on external demand, we have to turn back to domestic demand, including consumer spending and investment to sustain growth,” said statistics bureau spokesman Li Xiaochao.

Industrial production expanded 8.3 percent in March from a year earlier, up from 3.8 percent in the first two months, and urban fixed-asset investment surged 30.3 percent, the statistics bureau said. Retail sales rose 14.7 percent in March.

Urban disposable incomes rose 11.2 percent excluding inflation and rural cash incomes climbed 8.6 percent.

Read more at Bloomberg

Goldman still cautious about economy

Fortune) -- If the worst is over for the financial sector, you'd never know it to listen to Goldman Sachs.

The New York-based investment firm posted a $1.8 billion first-quarter profit Monday evening, then capitalized on those gains by selling $5 billion in stock Tuesday morning.

The developments put Goldman (GS, Fortune 500) on track to become the first big bank to repay the funds it received from Treasury last fall in the Troubled Asset Relief Program.

Once regulators complete their stress test of Goldman and sign off on the repayment plan, the firm will again be free to manage its affairs as it pleases, without fears that details on its pay practices will provoke outrage in Congress.

Despite this, Goldman chief financial officer David Viniar was hardly celebratory on a conference call with analysts and investors Tuesday morning.

Viniar said Goldman remains cautious about the economy and suggested that the firm expects the prices of assets such as real estate to continue to fall.

While further declines may not hammer Goldman, given its reduced exposure to troubled asset classes like real estate and corporate buyout loans, they could weigh on the results of other banks in coming months. Regional banks in particular hold large amounts of commercial real estate on their books.

"There are headwinds still with values, asset values," Viniar said in response to one question Tuesday. "I think those headwinds are less for us because we don't have that many anymore ... but there are still headwinds and that makes us cautious."

Goldman shares, which have surged during the bank stock rally of the past month, dropped 5% Tuesday to about $123, in line with the price of the $5 billion offering.

The drop in Goldman's stock helped lead the KBW Bank index, which has nearly doubled off its multidecade low over the past month, lower in midday trading.

Shares of beaten down bank Citigroup (C, Fortune 500) were rising, however, while those of seemingly healthier firms such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) edged lower.

Chase and Citi are both scheduled to report their first-quarter results later this week. The stronger-than-expected earnings from Goldman and Wells Fargo last week have spurred hopes that Chase and Citi will post similarly strong results.

Barclays Capital analyst Jason Goldberg raised his earnings estimates for both banks Tuesday, saying he expects them to benefit from better capital markets results and strong mortgage revenue. He now expects Citi to post its first profit in six quarters.

Read more at Fortune

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Yen Climbs to Two-Week High on Concern U.S. Recession Deepening

(Bloomberg) -- The yen advanced to a two-week high against the dollar before U.S. reports that may show industrial output and manufacturing contracted, adding to evidence the recession in the world’s largest economy is deepening.

Japan’s currency also climbed to the strongest in two weeks against the euro as Asian stocks fell, prompting investors to reduce holdings of higher-yielding assets. The euro may weaken for a second day versus the dollar on concern a German report today will show wholesale prices dropped for a fifth month, supporting the case for the European Central Bank to cut interest rates.

“Sooner rather than later pessimism will return to the market,” said Toru Umemoto, chief currency strategist in Tokyo at Barclays Capital, the world’s third-largest foreign-exchange trader. “The yen will be the beneficiary.”

The yen rose to 98.50 against the dollar at 12:20 p.m. in Tokyo from 98.98 in New York yesterday. It earlier reached 98.41, the strongest level since April 2. Japan’s currency gained to 130.48 per euro from 131.25, and advanced to 70.57 per Australian dollar from 71.63.

Read more at Bloomberg

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Asian stocks fall with Wall Street as data revives slowdown fears UPDATE


... Financial) - (Updates with closing figures throughout) Stock markets across Asia ended mostly lower Thursday, tracking ... by the stress in the housing market. China led the decline, with the Shanghai Composite down 5.42 percent at 3,411.49. Petrochina, ...

Oil prices jump close to 103 dollars


... as investors also seek shelter from choppy stock markets. The price of oil has doubled since ... oil producing countries such as Iran and Nigeria. ...