(Bloomberg) -- Japan’s economy shrank by a record last quarter as exports collapsed and consumers and businesses slashed spending, a decline that probably marked the low point in the country’s worst recession since World War II.
Gross domestic product fell an annualized 15.2 percent in the three months ended March 31, following a revised fourth- quarter drop of 14.4 percent, the Cabinet Office said today in Tokyo. The economy contracted 3.5 percent in the year ended March 31, the most since records began in 1955.
Exports plunged an unprecedented 26 percent last quarter, forcing companies from Toyota Motor Corp. to Hitachi Ltd. to cut production, workers and wages. Stocks have gained 32 percent since reaching 26-year low in March on speculation worldwide interest-rate reductions and spending by governments will halt the slide in the world’s second-largest economy.
“There was a collapse across the board,” said Yoshiki Shinke, a senior economist at Dai-Ichi Life Research Institute in Tokyo. Still, he added, there’s “light at the end of the tunnel” and the economy will resume growing this quarter as companies replenish inventories and stimulus plans at home and abroad take effect.
The yen traded at 95.59 per dollar at 12:56 p.m. in Tokyo from 96.16 before the report was published. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average rose 0.3 percent. Economists surveyed predicted the economy would shrink 16.1 percent.
Worse Than U.S.
GDP fell 4 percent on a non-annualized basis, more than double the U.S.’s 1.6 percent slide. It’s also worse than Europe’s record 2.5 percent contraction. Without adjusting for price changes, Japan shrank 2.9 percent last quarter.
Weaker domestic demand was the biggest contributor to the decline, shaving 2.6 percentage points off GDP, the most since 1974. Net exports -- the difference between exports and imports -- was responsible for 1.4 percentage points of the drop.
Consumer spending slid 1.1 percent and business investment plunged a record 10.4 percent. Economists say companies will keep cutting spending because the decline in demand has left factories and workers underused.
“There is a huge problem of over-capacity,” said Hiromichi Shirakawa, chief economist at Credit Suisse Group AG in Tokyo. “That means capital spending is not likely to pick up.”
Hitachi, a maker of nuclear reactors, home appliances and hard-disk drives, will trim costs by 500 billion yen ($5.2 billion) this fiscal year to minimize losses after a record 787.3 billion yen deficit last year. The Tokyo-based company said in January it plans to cut 7,000 jobs.
May Grow
Still, reports in the past month suggest the world’s second-largest economy may grow for the first time in a year this quarter, albeit from a low point, as exports stabilize and Prime Minister Taro Aso’s 15.4 trillion yen stimulus plan, announced in April, takes effect.
Consumer confidence climbed to a 10-month high in April. Exports increased in March from a month earlier, and factory output rose for the first time since September.
“Japan, first of all, will get a big boost from fiscal stimulus,” Thomas Byrne, senior vice president of Moody’s Investors Service, said in an interview in Tokyo. “Second, if the global economy picks up a little bit, that will help tremendously in Japan because of its dependence on exports.”
Byrne said Moody’s is unlikely to cut Japan’s debt rating over the next year because investors are willing to buy bonds that will fund the stimulus plans. Moody’s unified Japan’s ratings at Aa2 this week, raising the local-currency assessment from Aa3 and lowering the foreign-currency view from Aaa.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Asian Stocks Advance, Led by Mitsubishi; T&D Slumps on Loss
(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rose, led by commodity companies, as Goldman, Sachs & Co. recommended buying Mitsubishi Corp. shares. Finance companies declined.
Mitsubishi Corp., a trading company that gets 47 percent of its revenue from metals and energy products, climbed 4.5 percent. T&D Holdings Inc., Japan’s biggest life insurer, slumped 13 percent after posting a wider-than-estimated full-year loss. Billabong International Ltd., Australia’s largest surfwear maker, tumbled 16 percent after a share sale.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.5 percent to 99.82 at 12:04 p.m. in Tokyo, set for its highest close since Oct. 6. Through yesterday, the gauge had surged 41 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9. Concern that stock valuations had overpriced earnings prospects gave the measure its biggest weekly decline in two months last week.
“People are buying and selling stocks for quick returns, driving the market up and down like a carnival,” said Yoshihiro Ito, senior strategist at Tokyo-based Okasan Asset Management Co., which oversees the equivalent of $9.3 billion.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 0.4 percent to 9,330.46 as a government report showed the economy contracted an annualized 15.2 percent in the three months ended March 31, less than some economists predicted. Most markets rose, except for Singapore and Hong Kong.
James Hardie Industries NV, the biggest seller of home siding in the U.S., declined 2.3 percent in Sydney after profit slumped in the fourth quarter. Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd., Japan’s No. 3 shipping line, added 2.9 percent as commodity shipping rates gained for a 13th-straight session.
Brokerage Upgrade
Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent. The gauge dropped 0.2 percent in New York yesterday as a Commerce Department report showed housing starts sank 13 percent in April, while economists had expected an increase. Financial shares slumped after Moody’s Investors Service said commercial property values have tumbled.
Mitsubishi jumped 4.5 percent to 1,736 in Tokyo. Mitsui & Co., Mitsubishi’s closest rival, added 4.4 percent to 1,160 yen. Goldman Sachs raised its view on Japan’s trading house sector to “attractive” from “neutral.” The brokerage upgraded Mitsubishi to “buy” from “neutral.”
“Demand for resources looks likely to rebound and investors are willing to buy commodity-related companies on expectations for an earnings recovery,” said Hiroichi Nishi, general manager at Nikko Cordial Securities Co.
Crude oil futures in New York rose 1.1 percent to $59.65 a barrel yesterday, the highest settlement since Nov. 10.
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Mitsubishi Corp., a trading company that gets 47 percent of its revenue from metals and energy products, climbed 4.5 percent. T&D Holdings Inc., Japan’s biggest life insurer, slumped 13 percent after posting a wider-than-estimated full-year loss. Billabong International Ltd., Australia’s largest surfwear maker, tumbled 16 percent after a share sale.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.5 percent to 99.82 at 12:04 p.m. in Tokyo, set for its highest close since Oct. 6. Through yesterday, the gauge had surged 41 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9. Concern that stock valuations had overpriced earnings prospects gave the measure its biggest weekly decline in two months last week.
“People are buying and selling stocks for quick returns, driving the market up and down like a carnival,” said Yoshihiro Ito, senior strategist at Tokyo-based Okasan Asset Management Co., which oversees the equivalent of $9.3 billion.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average advanced 0.4 percent to 9,330.46 as a government report showed the economy contracted an annualized 15.2 percent in the three months ended March 31, less than some economists predicted. Most markets rose, except for Singapore and Hong Kong.
James Hardie Industries NV, the biggest seller of home siding in the U.S., declined 2.3 percent in Sydney after profit slumped in the fourth quarter. Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Ltd., Japan’s No. 3 shipping line, added 2.9 percent as commodity shipping rates gained for a 13th-straight session.
Brokerage Upgrade
Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 0.3 percent. The gauge dropped 0.2 percent in New York yesterday as a Commerce Department report showed housing starts sank 13 percent in April, while economists had expected an increase. Financial shares slumped after Moody’s Investors Service said commercial property values have tumbled.
Mitsubishi jumped 4.5 percent to 1,736 in Tokyo. Mitsui & Co., Mitsubishi’s closest rival, added 4.4 percent to 1,160 yen. Goldman Sachs raised its view on Japan’s trading house sector to “attractive” from “neutral.” The brokerage upgraded Mitsubishi to “buy” from “neutral.”
“Demand for resources looks likely to rebound and investors are willing to buy commodity-related companies on expectations for an earnings recovery,” said Hiroichi Nishi, general manager at Nikko Cordial Securities Co.
Crude oil futures in New York rose 1.1 percent to $59.65 a barrel yesterday, the highest settlement since Nov. 10.
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Bank of America Raises $13.5 Billion After Stress-Test Verdict
(Bloomberg) -- Bank of America Corp., the biggest U.S. bank by assets, raised about $13.5 billion in a sale of common stock after U.S. regulators determined it needed more cash to weather an extended recession.
The bank issued 1.25 billion shares at an average price of $10.77 each, according to a statement yesterday. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based company plans to boost common equity capital by $17 billion through the sale of stock and by converting preferred shares mostly held by institutional investors, Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Lewis said May 7.
“The worst is over for Bank of America and it will have absolutely no problem raising more capital,” said Kim Yong Tae, head of overseas investment at Yurie Asset Management Inc. in Seoul, which manages $2 billion in assets. “The minute the U.S. government started pumping taxpayer money into lenders its financial-system risks started easing, and now are completely gone.”
Regulators told Bank of America to raise $33.9 billion after conducting stress tests, the largest amount among the 19 banks examined. Other banks ordered to raise capital include Wells Fargo & Co., which made an $8.6 billion offering, and Morgan Stanley, which raised $4 billion, both on May 8.
“We are pleased to have this portion of our capital plan completed,” Bank of America Chief Financial Officer Joe Price said in the statement. “This strengthens and diversifies our capital structure.”
Bank of America declined 48 cents, or 4.1 percent, to $11.25 at 4:15 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It has dropped 20 percent this year.
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The bank issued 1.25 billion shares at an average price of $10.77 each, according to a statement yesterday. The Charlotte, North Carolina-based company plans to boost common equity capital by $17 billion through the sale of stock and by converting preferred shares mostly held by institutional investors, Chief Executive Officer Kenneth Lewis said May 7.
“The worst is over for Bank of America and it will have absolutely no problem raising more capital,” said Kim Yong Tae, head of overseas investment at Yurie Asset Management Inc. in Seoul, which manages $2 billion in assets. “The minute the U.S. government started pumping taxpayer money into lenders its financial-system risks started easing, and now are completely gone.”
Regulators told Bank of America to raise $33.9 billion after conducting stress tests, the largest amount among the 19 banks examined. Other banks ordered to raise capital include Wells Fargo & Co., which made an $8.6 billion offering, and Morgan Stanley, which raised $4 billion, both on May 8.
“We are pleased to have this portion of our capital plan completed,” Bank of America Chief Financial Officer Joe Price said in the statement. “This strengthens and diversifies our capital structure.”
Bank of America declined 48 cents, or 4.1 percent, to $11.25 at 4:15 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. It has dropped 20 percent this year.
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