Monday, May 18, 2009

Asian Stocks Rise on Growth Optimism; BHP, Toyota Motor Gain

(Bloomberg) -- Asian stocks rose as higher confidence among U.S. homebuilders, a surge in oil prices and a drop in bank borrowing costs stoked optimism the global economy is recovering.

Toyota Motor Corp., which gets a third of its sales in North America, rose 3.1 percent as the yen weakened versus the dollar. BHP Billiton Ltd., Australia’s biggest oil producer, climbed 3.4 percent after crude-oil futures rose to a six-month high. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Ltd. gained 5.9 percent as the London interbank offered rate fell the most in two months. Indian stocks were poised to advance after election results triggered a surge in their American depositary receipts.

“The housing market is the most important factor in predicting the direction of an economy,” said Fumiyuki Nakanishi, a strategist at SMBC Friend Securities Co. “When we look back on these times, we’ll see the global economy bottomed out in the April-June period.”

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 2.2 percent to 98.97 at 11 a.m. in Tokyo. Through yesterday, the gauge climbed 40 percent from a more than five-year low on March 9.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average climbed 2.8 percent to 9,293.09. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index added 2.1 percent and South Korea’s Kospi index rose 2 percent. Trading in India is due to resume trading today as a 17 percent surge in the Sensitive Index triggered a suspension yesterday.

Weaker Yen

Futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index were little changed. The gauge climbed 3 percent yesterday, the most in two weeks, as analysts recommended Bank of America Corp. and Lowe’s Cos. beat earnings projections. Separately, the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo index of builders’ confidence advanced in May to the highest level since September.

Toyota rose 3.1 percent to 3,670 yen in Tokyo. Honda Motor Co., which makes 51 percent of its revenue in North America, added 0.9 percent to 2,705 yen. Japanese exporters also rose on speculation a weaker yen will boost the value of overseas sales.

The surge in equities signaled investors are more willing to take risk, making the yen less attractive as a haven. The yen depreciated against the dollar to as much as 96.40 today from 95.03 at the 3 p.m. close of stock trading in Tokyo yesterday. The Japanese currency weakened versus the euro to as much as 130.68 from 127.91.

BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest mining company and Australia’s largest oil producer, rose 3.4 percent to A$34.01. Inpex Corp., Japan’s largest oil explorer, climbed 4.6 percent to 702,000 yen.

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Goldman, Morgan Stanley Said to Apply for TARP Exit

(Bloomberg) -- Goldman Sachs Group Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley applied to repay the combined $45 billion they received in October from the government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program, said people familiar with the matter.

The three New York-based banks need approval from the Federal Reserve, their primary supervisor, to return the money, according to the people, who requested anonymity because the application process isn’t public. Spokesmen for the three banks declined to comment, as did Calvin Mitchell, a spokesman for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

If approved, the refunds would be the biggest yet to the $700 billion TARP program established by Congress last year during the investor furor that followed the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Banks are keen to repay the money to shake off restrictions on compensation and hiring that were imposed on TARP recipients in February.

“It really is a way for them to break from the herd,” said Peter Sorrentino, a senior portfolio manager at Huntington Asset Advisors in Cincinnati, which holds Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan shares among the $13.8 billion it oversees. “It’s a great way to attract customers, personnel, capital.”

JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley were among nine banks that were persuaded in mid-October by then-Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to accept the first $125 billion of capital injections from the TARP program to help restore stability to the financial markets.

Stress-Test Results

The refunds would be the first by the biggest banks that participated in the program. As of May 15, 14 of the smaller banks that received capital under the program had already repaid it, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The 19 biggest banks were waiting for the conclusion earlier this month of so-called stress tests to determine whether they would require additional capital to withstand a further deterioration of the economy.

Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, the fifth- and second-biggest U.S. banks by assets, were found not to need any more money. Morgan Stanley, the sixth-biggest bank, raised $4.57 billion by selling stock this month, exceeding the $1.8 billion in additional capital the regulators said the bank may require.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said on April 21 that he would welcome firms returning TARP funds as long as their regulators sign off. He added that regulators will consider whether banks have enough capital to keep lending and whether the financial system as a whole can supply the credit needed to ensure an economic recovery.

‘Wrong Time’

While executives at Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan have expressed a desire to repay their TARP money for months, Morgan Stanley Chairman and Chief Executive Officer John Mack told employees on March 30 that he thought it was “the wrong time” to repay the money.

Morgan Stanley, which reported a first-quarter loss, also slashed its quarterly dividend 81 percent to 5 cents. On May 8, when the company sold stock, it also sold $4 billion of debt that didn’t carry a government guarantee. Selling non-guaranteed debt is a prerequisite for repaying TARP money.

The banks will also have to decide whether to try to buy back the warrants that the government received as part of the TARP investments. The warrants, which could convert into stock if not repurchased, would add to the cost of repayment.

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